Ransomware Trends Report | Q1 2026

Today’s ransomware ecosystem is driven by Ransomware-as-a-Service (RaaS) models.

Operators no longer execute attacks alone.
They build platforms. Affiliates execute at scale.

This shift changes everything:

• More attackers entering the ecosystem
• Faster attack cycles
• Higher operational efficiency
• Increased pressure on targets

At the same time, a small number of dominant groups — led by Qilin — continue to control a significant share of global activity, while emerging actors rapidly scale and compete.

This is not chaos.
It’s a functioning economy.

Targeting Is Not Random. It’s Calculated.

Ransomware groups are not just looking for vulnerabilities.
They are looking for pressure points.

In Q1 2026, attackers consistently prioritized:

• Manufacturing → operational downtime = immediate revenue loss
• Technology → access to data, infrastructure, and supply chains
• Business Services → leverage through client ecosystems

These are environments where disruption forces decisions.

And attackers know it.

Global Reach. Uneven Risk.

Nearly half of all ransomware victims are in the United States,
but the attack surface is expanding globally.

Threat actors are no longer limited by geography.
They are limited by visibility — and most organizations still lack it.

What Happens Next: Q2 2026

The data points to one direction:

📈 More attacks
⚡ Faster execution
🎯 More precise targeting

Brandefense projects ransomware activity to exceed 2,200 confirmed incidents in Q2 2026, as affiliates scale operations and campaigns mature.

At the same time:

• Hypervisor-level attacks (ESXi) are becoming standard
• Double and triple extortion is now baseline
• Credential-based access is dominating initial entry

This Is No Longer Just a Security Problem

Ransomware is now an external risk visibility problem.

Attackers already know:

• Your exposed assets
• Your leaked credentials
• Your weakest entry points

The only question is:

Do you?