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Mercado Bitcoin and Binance Incidents Compared: Size, Freezes and User Impact

Mercado Bitcoin hack compared with Binance: what was hit, reported amounts, frozen funds and user impact, and how the figure changed across relays.

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Two dark glass vaults of different sizes lit red inside, a metaphor for comparing two crypto exchange incidents

According to Telegram relays of its statements, Mercado Bitcoin, a Brazilian exchange, had a security incident on 2 November 2026 and paused deposits and withdrawals. This Mercado Bitcoin hack is one of two exchange incidents in a week, after Binance reported a far larger one on 29 October. Below we set the two side by side: what was hit, how much, what was frozen and what users were told.

Mercado Bitcoin’s own pages were not open to us when we wrote this (one returned an access error). The figures below come from Telegram news relays seen in Brandefense Blackhole, so each is attributed and may change. Binance’s figures come from our earlier Binance post, which cites Binance’s own reports.

Mercado Bitcoin and Binance Side by Side

Read each row as a claim with a source, not as a verdict. The Mercado Bitcoin column is relayed and early; the Binance column is Binance’s initial report of 3 November 2026 as summarised in our post. The last column is our reading, and it is labelled as ours.

Two exchange incidents, as reported so far
PointMercado Bitcoin (2 November, relayed)Binance (29 October, Binance's report)
What was hitHot wallets, according to relays; the relays list about 10 blockchainsHot wallets, per Binance’s initial report, through an internal wallet signing service
Amount affectedAbout $36.3M in the latest relayed update; earlier relays said over $40M and about $38MAbout $6.34B, per Binance, with reconciliation still to come
Frozen or blockedAbout $12.9M in the latest relay; the $38M relay said $11M, with help from Tether, Circle and othersAbout $2.85B frozen or intercepted, per Binance
User impactDeposits and withdrawals paused; the exchange says customers will not lose assetsWithdrawals paused; Binance says it will cover losses and reports about 95% of the impacted amount covered
Cause statedThe exchange’s statement, as relayed, gives no method; some relays speculate, which we do not repeatBinance’s report describes a months-long chain and says the FBI attributes it to North Korea
Scale gap (our reading)The affected sum is under 1% of the Binance figureRoughly 175 times larger than the latest relayed Mercado Bitcoin figure (our arithmetic: 6.34B / 36.3M)

How to read the table: the gap in size is large. Both cases hit hot wallets, and both met a pause and a statement that customers are covered, according to the relays for Mercado Bitcoin and per Binance’s report for Binance. What is known differs as much as the money, since Binance has published a causal chain and the relays have not. Our reading: Mercado Bitcoin is where Binance was in its first days.

How the Mercado Bitcoin Number Moved in One Day

In Brandefense Blackhole, 47 Telegram posts from 42 channels created between 13:54 UTC on 2 November and the evening of 3 November mention the exchange by name. Of these, 20 were created on 2 November and 27 on 3 November. A name search for “Mercado” alone is noisy, so we count only posts containing “Mercado Bitcoin”.

The reported figure over time (created_at, UTC)
TimeWhat the relay saidPosts in our set
2 Nov, from 14:21Over $40M in suspicious transfers across at least 10 blockchains, attributed in one relay to analysts at Hypernative; the exchange had not confirmed it as customer lossabout 30 posts carry a figure of about $40M
2 Nov, 22:30One relay adds an on-chain estimate of $48.5M, and says related stablecoins were reportedly frozen1 post
3 Nov, from 04:13Losses “over $46M”, described as an update to on-chain tracking16 posts, many near-identical copies
3 Nov, 13:07About $38M affected, $11M already blocked with help from Tether, Circle and others1 post
3 Nov, 17:26About $36.3M affected and $12.9M blocked or frozen, described as the exchange’s update1 post

The posts that carried the first figure were mostly quick relays of one source, and the 46M copies repeat one text. Our reading: the two latest relayed figures are the ones described as the exchange’s own updates, so we weight them above the earlier outside estimates of suspicious transfers. All of them remain relayed and may change.

What Was Frozen, and by Whom

An early relay on 2 November said Tether had frozen 4.5 million USDT linked to the incident. Later relays said the exchange worked with stablecoin issuers and others to block funds, with the $11M and $12.9M figures above. The issuers’ own statements were not open to us, so the split by company is not ours to give.

For Binance, our post reports that about $2.85B of $6.34B was frozen or intercepted at the time of Binance’s report, per Binance. The shares differ by less than the sums do. Roughly a third of the affected sum was frozen in the Mercado Bitcoin relay and under half in the Binance report, but the bases differ. That is our arithmetic on the reported numbers and is not a finding.

What This Means for Exchange Teams

This section is our advice, not a finding from the sources. Both incidents point at the same weak spot: the hot wallet and the systems that sign for it. For supplier access as an entry route, see our Bybit post on supplier access.

Our advice for exchange and custody teams
  1. Keep hot wallets smallHold only what daily withdrawals need, and move the rest to cold storage with separate approvals.
  2. Watch the signing pathAlert on any new delegation or signer change on a hot wallet, because Binance’s report describes this route.
  3. Prepare freeze contactsKeep working contacts at stablecoin issuers and analytics firms, since freezes are the part of the response the relays describe.
  4. Publish one numberGive a single dated figure with its basis, so that relays stop passing on outside estimates.
  5. Warn your usersTell customers that support will not ask for seed phrases or logins after an incident, and watch for fake recovery pages.

For what the Binance case showed in detail, read our Binance security investigation page. For how fast guesses spread after that incident, see our Binance hack on Telegram and X analysis.

What Stays Open

The method and the attacker are not stated in the exchange’s statement as relayed; some relays speculate, and we do not repeat that. The Mercado Bitcoin figures may change again, and we did not open the exchange’s own statement. We recommend treating the latest relayed figure as provisional until the exchange or the issuers publish more.

Frequently Asked Questions.

How much was the Mercado Bitcoin hack?

Relays of the exchange's updates gave about $36.3M affected and about $12.9M blocked or frozen on the evening of 3 November 2026. Earlier relays said over $40M, which were outside estimates of suspicious transfers.

Will Mercado Bitcoin users lose assets?

The exchange says customers will not lose assets, according to relays of its statements. We did not open its own page, so treat this as reported.

How does the Mercado Bitcoin incident differ from Binance's?

By our arithmetic on the reported figures, Binance's is about 175 times larger ($6.34B against $36.3M), though the two figures may not measure the same thing. Binance has published a cause chain, while the Mercado Bitcoin statement as relayed gives no method; some relays speculate, which we do not repeat.

Sources

  1. 1 Brandefense Blackhole, Telegram relays of 2 and 3 November 2026
  2. 2 Binance News initial incident report, 3 November 2026 (as summarised in our Binance post)
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